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Privatising successfully – the case of Czech Republic

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Privatising successfully – the case of Czech Republic

Non-standard methods, experiments of privatisation may be good for Pakistan


Dr. Khalil Ahmad | 01, January, 2023

Altering the economic system is not an easy task. It is more complex when carried out half-heartedly. Privatisation is only a part of this process. It may not succeed if done in an isolated manner. Among other things, it requires a competitive environment to bear fruit.

A case in point is the erstwhile Czechoslovakia. It provides us with a good learning experience to see how after the fall of a collectivist state, the gigantic task of changing the economic system was handled.

Dr Vaclav Klaus was one of the key members of a movement, Velvet Revolution, which overthrew communism in Czechoslovakia. He was the prime minister (1993-1997) and the president (2003-13). An economist and politician, he was the first non-communist finance minister of Czechoslovakia.

According to Klaus, the starting point of a change in Czechoslovakia was liberalisation and deregulation of markets. And this move consisted of three main liberalisations: i) price liberalisation, ii) trade liberalisation, and iii) business liberalisation.

As to the price liberalisation, for 40 years the people in Czechoslovakia had totally frozen and administered prices. So, liberalising prices was a dramatic shock.

He makes a comparison. The Australians spent years or decades discussing liberalising the price of milk in Australia. But in Czechoslovakia they didn’t have just one case of milk. They had hundreds and thousands of prices with possibly the same impact on individuals in different groups of society.

The second move, trade liberalisation, was also a dramatic one. It meant opening the country after 40 years of semi-autocratic and protected economy.

And, the third move was liberalisation of entry into market for all types of enterprises, both private and foreign.

These three liberalisations represented the first stage of transition, and not only changed the whole society but also enormously increased the supply of goods and services.

It brought equilibrium in the market overnight. It interrupted some of the old, deeply built-in behaviour of citizens, and it attacked and endangered various old habits they inherited from the communist past.

Klaus readily admits that realising such changes was socially difficult, politically brave but technically easy because most of the measures required just had to be announced.

Again, citing the case of milk price, he says that to deregulate or liberalise the price of milk, Australians, or for that matter anyone, don’t need sophisticated theories.

It doesn’t need the involvement of university professors or experts on micro- or macroeconomics. It is sufficient to meet at eight o’clock in the evening and announce on TV that tomorrow morning at 8am the price of milk is free to move. That is what they did in Czechoslovakia.

However, he admits, the second stage of transition was not an easy one. It required more positive and constructive activity from the government. Because, it was necessary not only to introduce such passive transformation measures, but also to implement some active measures. It was necessary to build, establish new and/or transform old institutions and organisations.

And, of course, he says, the crucial point in this respect was privatisation. But it was really impossible to wait for the slow emergence of hundreds and thousands of private enterprises – built from nothing – and for the slow disappearance of state-owned enterprises (SOEs), which 11 years ago in former Czechoslovakia represented almost 100% of the whole economy. He emphatically says: So, we had to privatise. It’s an accepted exercise.

Klaus’s narrative of their privatisation is all but immeasurably instructive. He says: We had to privatise, we decided, and it was necessary to privatise the state-owned firms on a massive scale, on a wholesale basis, not just individual firms.

That is something he always had to repeat and to stress because everyone compares privatisation in post-communist countries with privatisation in France, Sweden and the Netherlands.

I am not an expert on it, he says, but I always say that the brave Margaret Thatcher privatised three or four firms a year, whereas we had to privatise three or four firms per hour! Because otherwise it would have taken a century to do that job.

For that reason, we had to use some non-standard methods of privatisation; we had to do experiments and different exercises.

Lesson to be learnt: In Pakistan, neither the government runs the SOEs successfully, nor does privatise them successfully. So, any non-standard methods and experiments of privatisation would after all be good.

It’s better through political consensus. The way a lot of private entities were nationalised simply by an Act of parliament, all the SOEs be also written off and considered privatised in a wholesale manner by another Act of parliament. Or the executive order will do that

Another lesson: Deregulate and liberalise the sectors the SOEs belong to, and liberalise trade and prices also. These measures would make the existence of SOEs more obsolete.

The writer is a political philosopher and political economist and is a distinguished research fellow at PRIME.

The Article was originally Published on The Express Tribune, on December 18th, 2023.

World Bank approves $350m package

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World Bank approves $350m package

Board members deem 10% tax-to-GDP ratio insufficient to meet growing expenditure

Shahbaz RanaJanuary 1, 2024
 
The World Bank greenlit a $350 million package for Pakistan’s budget financing, highlighting the need for fiscal and structural reforms. This move comes amid 
concerns raised by the World Bank’s board members over Pakistan’s low tax 
collection relative to the size of its economy.
 
The World Bank’s Board of Executive Directors unanimously approved the $350 million financing
 for the Second Resilient Institutions for Sustainable Economy (RISE-II) operation, according to 
a press statement issued on Wednesday. The approval for the $350 million comes after a two-year 
delay, attributed to weak economic fundamentals, the absence of an International Monetary Fund
 (IMF) umbrella, and uncertainty over upcoming elections. The Washington based lender moved 
forward with the case for board approval only after obtaining clarity on these aspects.
 
World Bank Country Director for Pakistan, Najy Benhassine, stressed the urgency of fiscal and
 structural reforms to restore macroeconomic balance and establish the foundations for sustainable growth. He noted that RISE-II completes a first phase of tax, energy, and business climate 
reforms aimed at generating additional revenues, improving expenditure targeting, and 
stimulating competition and investment.
 
Although Pakistan met all nine prior conditions for securing the budget financing loan, the 
lender moved forward only after the completion of the first review of the $3 billion IMF
 programme and the announcement of the February 8th election date.
 
The board members raised concerns about Pakistan’s approximately 10% tax-to-GDP ratio, which
 they deemed insufficient to meet growing expenditure needs and contributing to higher public
 debt. This ratio is significantly lower compared to regional countries, with India boasting an 
18% tax-to-GDP ratio.
 
The World Bank has approved loans to improve fiscal management, regulatory frameworks 
fostering growth and competitiveness, debt transparency and management enhancement, and broadening the tax base while reducing distortions in tax policy.
 
Programme loan documents indicate that the $350 million lending was approved “with a 
24-month delay following the completion of prior actions and establishment of a sustainable macroeconomic framework.”
 
The World Bank documents state that delays in reining in accommodative fiscal and monetary
 policies from mid-2021 led to the erosion of buffers, while programme implementation slowed considerably.
 
The government sought the World Bank’s support under a revived RISE programme and 
completed critical outstanding PAs, including the flagship general sales tax harmonisation 
reforms. However, there are still hurdles to filing one single sales tax return instead of five at 
federal and provincial levels.
 
To qualify for the lending, Pakistan implemented steps for effective fiscal management, 
improvements in debt management, withdrawal of energy subsidies, and enhanced revenue 
collection from property taxation.
 
The World Bank underlined that external financing realisation from international financial
 institutions, bilateral partners, and structural reforms supported by the $350 million RISE-II 
loan and $3 billion IMF package are critical for macroeconomic policy adequacy. But it added that continued macro adequacy is contingent on the successful completion of the ongoing IMF 
programme.
 
“Based on the foundations laid through RISE II and parallel support by other International 
Financial Institutions, Pakistan has the opportunity to tackle long-standing structural distortions 
in its economy after the upcoming general elections,” said Derek Chen, Task Team Leader of the 
WB operation. Failing to use this opportunity would risk plunging the country back into stop 
and go economic cycles, he warned.
 
The programme document stated that, in recent years, poverty reduction efforts have slowed 
amid shocks, critical structural constraints, and periodic macroeconomic crises. The lower-middle income poverty rate in 2023 is estimated at 39.4% at $3.65 per day income yardstick, only 
slightly below the poverty rate of 40% in 2018. There are almost three million more Pakistanis
 living below the poverty line than in 2018. Little progress has been made in closing gaps in 
poverty between urban and rural areas, while women and girls continue to face widespread 
exclusion from access to services and opportunities, it added. Despite some recovery, economic
growth is expected to remain below potential over the medium term. The World Bank has 
projected a 1.7% economic growth rate for this fiscal year and a negative real per capita income.
 

This Article was originally Published in The Express Tribune, on December 21st, 2023.

 
 
 
 
 
 

 
 
 
 
 

GSP Plus & EU Market: Export Potential of Balochistan-Pakistan

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GSP Plus & EU Market:
Export Potential of Balochistan-Pakistan

Authored by:
Jahangir Shah Kakar
Research Intern PRIME
Kakarat433@gmail.com
Supervised by:
Sarah Javaid
Research Economist Sarahkazmi1214@gmail.com
Supervised by:
Ali Salman
Executive Director PRIME
ali@primeinstitute.org

The study provides an overview of Pakistan's trade relations with EU countries as well as trade benefits for Balochistan-Pakistan's largest and least developed province. GSP+ status was granted by the EU to Pakistan in 2014 with the aim to promote human rights. sustainable development, and good governance through trade. After attaining the GSP+ status in 2014, the exports of Pakistan to the EU have augmented by more than 100% and have increased by 42.6% in 2022 as compared with 2021. Pakistan, along with other Asian countries like Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, and India, exports textiles and other goods to the EU markets while importing heavy machinery and other high-value items from the EU. Keeping Pakistan’s trade trends in view, unfortunately, little to no attention is given to other sectors including agriculture. This research study has attempted to identify the unrealized trade potential of Balochistan with respect to its trade with EU member states. Interestingly, Olives from Balochistan have great potential to be exported to the EU. Seafood from the country as well as the province is also being exported to Belgium, Spain, the Netherlands, and the UK. Balochistan, being one of the mineral-rich provinces with a vast track record of arable land, has the potential to benefit from the status with respect to agriculture goods, livestock products, and mineral resources to EU markets without any duties. This research suggests that Balochistan has not quite benefited from GSP+ status as compared with its existing potential in the fields of agriculture, livestock, and mining, and proposes a way forward. The government needs to work on devising policies in compliance with EU requirements to explore trade avenues with EU member states.

Download the report now by clicking the link below.
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